Santiago Tobón

Publicaciones/Publications

Journal articles

"Do better prisons reduce recidivism? Evidence from a prison construction program," forthcoming Review of Economics and Statistics. [Paper | Replication | Outreach: El Espectador, Razón Pública]

"Place-based interventions at scale: The direct and spillover effects of policing and city services on crime," forthcoming Journal of the European Economic Association (with Chris Blattman, Donald Green and Daniel Ortega). [Paper | Online appendix | Teaching materials | Outreach: J-PAL Policy Reports]

"The Deterrent Effects of Surveillance Cameras on Crime," forthcoming Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (with Santiago Gómez and Daniel Mejía). [Paper]

"Hot Spots Policing in a High Crime Environment: An Experimental Evaluation in Medellín," forthcoming Journal of Experimental Criminology (with Daniela Collazos, Eduardo García, Daniel Mejía and Daniel Ortega).

(2020) "Meta-Analysis of Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation in Major Histocompatibility Complex Class II Deficiency," Pediatric Transplantation, 24(6), e13774 (with Lina Castano-Jaramillo, Jose Bareno-Silva and Andres Escobar-Gonzalez). [Paper | Outreach: Twitter thread]
(2018) "The role of land property rights in the war on illicit crops: Evidence from Colombia" World Development, 103, p. 268-283 (with Juan Carlos Muñoz and Jesse D'Anjou). [Paper | Outreach: IDS Policy Briefings]​

Selected work in progresssing

[NBER Working Paper | SocArXiv Working Paper | Outreach: Twitter thread (English), Twitter thread (Spanish), Twitter thread (Portuguese), Nota de Política EAFIT, Webinar with key stakeholders, EDI Essay Series, EDI Research Videos, EDI Research Insights, El Tiempo, Caracol Radio, El Colombiano, Foco Económico]

"Gangs of Medellín: How organized crime is organized" (with Chris Blattman, Gustavo Duncan and Ben Lessing)

"Gang entry and exit: Behavioral biases and gang recruitment" (with Chris Blattman, Maria Rodríguez-Uribe and Pierre Luc Vautrey)

"Organized crime in Rio de Janeiro: Understanding non-state provision of order and justice" (with Benjamin Lessing and Joana Monteiro)

"Crime trajectories in times of COVID-19: The case of Colombia" (with Nathalie Alvarado, Ervyn Norza, Santiago Pérez-Vincent and Martín Vanegas-Arias).

"Improving human decisions through machine learning: An experiment to reduce crime by selecting inmates better" (with Daniel Mejía and the Office of the Attorney General of Colombia)​

Journal articles in Colombian journals

(2019) "El gasto fiscal de la guerra contra los portadores de drogas ilícitas: Una aproximación para Colombia," Lecturas de Economía, 91, p. 79-116 (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Paper]

(2014) "The Rational Expectations Hypothesis: An Assessment on its Real World Application," Ecos de Economía: A Latin American Journal of Applied Economics, 18(37), p. 37-47. [Paper]

(2013) "Impuesto predial y desarrollo económico. Aproximación a la relación entre el impuesto predial y la inversión de los municipios de Antioquia," Ecos de Economía: A Latin American Journal of Applied Economics, 17(36), p. 173-198 (with Juan Carlos Muñoz). [Paper]​

Book chapters

(2018) "La situación del narcotráfico en Colombia ad portas del posconflicto," Contribuciones de la Universidad a la Agenda de La Habana, Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT (with Isabel Gutiérrez and Gustavo Duncan). 

(2017) "El Ciclo Criminal del Microtráfico y Consumo de Drogas: Contexto Nacional y Consecuencias en Entornos Locales," Territorios y Sociabilidades Violentas: Santo Domingo, San Juan, Sao Paulo, Cali y Medellin. Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Chapter]

(2017) "Evaluación y seguimiento a las actividades de la policía de vigilancia," Gestión Territorial de la Seguridad en el Posconflicto. Edited by: Isabel Gutiérrez. Ed: Universidad EAFIT y Escuela de Postgrados de Policía, Policía Nacional (with Isabel Gutiérrez). [Chapter]

(2016) "La inversión obligatoria y el crédito agropecuario en Colombia," El desarrollo equitativo, competitivo y sostenible del sector agropecuario en Colombia. Edited by: Carlos Gustavo Cano, Ana María Iregui, Maria Teresa Ramírez & Ana María Tribín. Ed: Banco de la República (with Dairo Estrada and Paula Zuleta). [Chapter]

(2013) "Instituciones y cultivos ilícitos," Economía criminal y poder político, Edited by: Jorge Giraldo. Ed: Universidad EAFIT. [Chapter]​

Other publications

(2018) "What works to prevent violence among youth? A white paper on youth violence, crime prevention and the Mexican context," USAID Report, AID-523- C-15-00002 (with Thomas Abt, Chris Blattman and Beatriz Magaloni). 

(2016) "Sector Wide Impact Assessment on Human Rights: Mining Unseen," Institute for Human Rights and Business Report (with Luis Fernando De Angulo, Camila Miranda, Blanca Llorente, Natalia Torres, Alejandra Castillo, Margaret Wachenfeld, Andreé Viana and Viviana Arango). [Report]​